All Guides
Retirement Risks Cornerstone Guide

Understanding Sequence of Returns Risk

Two retirees with the same average return can get very different outcomes — all because of the order those returns arrive.

Updated June 8, 2026 8 min readRetirement Risks
Original infographic in development: Understanding Sequence of Returns Risk

Sequence-of-returns risk is the danger that poor investment returns early in retirement — when you're also withdrawing money — do lasting damage to your plan.

This guide explains the concept with plain examples and the strategies used to manage it.

What sequence-of-returns risk is

Chart: same average return, different outcomes

Why the order of returns matters once you're withdrawing money.

Why early losses are so dangerous

How withdrawing during a downturn locks in losses you can't recover from.

The first five years matter most

Why the period right around retirement carries outsized risk.

Managing the risk

Reserves, flexible spending, and guaranteed income to reduce reliance on volatile assets.

This guide is for general educational purposes only and is not financial, tax, or legal advice. Tim Hartle is an independent insurance professional. Annuity guarantees are subject to the claims-paying ability of the issuing insurance company and are not FDIC insured. Rules and product features vary by situation and by state. Please consult a qualified advisor about your own circumstances.

Frequently Asked

Apply This to Your Own Plan

Schedule your complimentary, no-pressure Retirement Income Review with Tim. Call (727) 692-5866 or book below.

Ready to talk about your retirement income?

Schedule a free, no-obligation Retirement Income Review with Tim Hartle. No pressure, no jargon — just straight answers.

(727) 692-5866

thartle@pgwfinancial.com

Monday–Friday, 9am–6pm ET

Tampa Bay, Florida · Pinellas, Pasco & Hillsborough counties

Proudly Serving Tampa Bay Retirees

Pinellas County

  • St. Petersburg
  • Clearwater
  • Largo
  • Dunedin
  • Palm Harbor
  • Safety Harbor
  • Tarpon Springs

Pasco County

  • New Port Richey
  • Port Richey
  • Zephyrhills
  • Wesley Chapel
  • Land O Lakes
  • Dade City
  • Holiday

Hillsborough County

  • Tampa
  • Brandon
  • Riverview
  • Valrico
  • Plant City
  • Sun City Center
  • Ruskin

Tim Hartle is an independent insurance professional licensed to sell annuity and life insurance products. Annuity and insurance products are not deposits, are not FDIC or NCUA insured, are not guaranteed by a bank or financial institution, and are subject to investment risk including possible loss of principal in variable products. Fixed and fixed-indexed annuities guarantee principal and a minimum interest rate, subject to the claims-paying ability of the issuing insurance company. Guarantees are not backed by the federal government. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. This material is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, or legal advice. Please consult with a qualified advisor regarding your individual circumstances before making any financial decisions. Product availability and features vary by state.

© 2026 PGW Financial Wealth Advisors. All rights reserved.